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Circle's Soaring Profits Face Ongoing Regulatory Concerns and Investor Skepticism

Circle's Soaring Profits Face Ongoing Regulatory Concerns and Investor Skepticism

Bitget-RWA2025/11/12 11:56
By:Bitget-RWA

- Circle's Q3 2025 report showed 66% revenue growth to $740M and $214M net income, but shares fell 1.8% post-announcement due to valuation and regulatory concerns. - USDC circulation surged 108% to $73.7B, driving 60% higher reserve income, while partnerships with Deutsche Börse, Visa , and Brex expanded traditional finance reach. - The Arc testnet launch with 100+ institutional participants aims to enable programmable money, but shares fell 8.7% YTD despite raised 2025 revenue guidance and regulatory risk

Circle Internet Group (CRCL) released its third-quarter earnings on November 12, 2025, sparking a notable shift in pre-market trading as investors weighed impressive revenue gains against mixed analyst perspectives. The company posted a 66% annual revenue jump to $740 million and a 202% rise in net profit to $214 million, yet shares dropped 1.8% after the announcement, reflecting ongoing concerns about the company’s valuation and regulatory exposure, according to

.

This performance was fueled by a 108% year-over-year increase in

in circulation, reaching $73.7 billion, which highlights the stablecoin’s growing traction in global payments and institutional sectors, as reported by .
Circle's Soaring Profits Face Ongoing Regulatory Concerns and Investor Skepticism image 0
Income from Circle’s reserves—generated from interest on USDC’s dollar holdings—climbed 60% to $711 million. Strategic alliances with Deutsche Börse, Visa, and Brex further expanded Circle’s reach in traditional finance, according to . The company also introduced its Arc public testnet, a blockchain platform designed to facilitate programmable money for institutions, with participation from over 100 companies, as noted by .

Despite the strong financials, the stock’s decline after earnings pointed to broader worries. Since its June IPO, CRCL shares had soared 235% but were down 8.7% for the year as of November 12, according to

. Analyst opinions remain split: Ken Worthington of J.P. Morgan maintained a Sell rating with a $94 target, citing high valuation, while Gustavo Gala of Monness Crespi Hardt started coverage with a Buy rating and a $150 target, highlighting USDC’s potential for market expansion, as CoinCentral reported. TipRanks’ consensus pointed to a 69.1% upside, with an average price target of $166.19 per share, according to .

Circle’s strategic initiatives—such as exploring a native token for the Arc network and enabling reversible stablecoin transactions for institutional clients—are intended to set it apart in a market led by

and decentralized competitors, as noted by LookonChain. However, regulatory challenges persist, with the Trump administration’s Genius Act—a proposed framework for stablecoin regulation—still under development, according to Yahoo Finance.

The company raised its 2025 outlook, now expecting Other Revenue between $90 million and $100 million (up from $75–$85 million) and Adjusted Operating Expenses of $495–$510 million, reflecting greater investment in platform growth, as reported by the Financial Times. The RLDC margin, a key profitability indicator, is projected to approach 38%, near the top of previous guidance, according to Investing.com.

The mixed market reaction highlights the difficulty of balancing rapid expansion with profitability. While USDC’s 29% share of the stablecoin market and a projected 40% compound annual growth rate, as reported by LookonChain, suggest significant long-term promise, short-term execution risks and regulatory ambiguity may dampen investor optimism. Circle’s continued leadership in the evolving stablecoin sector will depend on its ability to scale institutional partnerships and manage a complex regulatory landscape, as Yahoo Finance observed.

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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