Bitcoin Crash: Analysts Warn of Deeper Downside as Oversold Levels Hit Extremes

Bitcoin 2021 vs. 2025 – A Disturbing Pattern Reappears

When comparing the 2021 and 2025 charts side by side, the similarity is striking.

2021: Double Top → Black Friday → Collapse

• $Bitcoin formed a broad double top.
• A sharp correction around Black Friday marked the start of the major downtrend.
• What looked like a normal dip eventually turned into a prolonged crash that erased months of gains.

2025: Same Structure, Just at Higher Prices

• $BTC once again formed a weakening ascending structure.
• The price tapped the upper trendline and failed — very similar to 2021.
• The selloff that followed is now accelerating.

If this pattern continues to play out, Bitcoin may only be in the early stages of a larger corrective phase.

Bitcoin Now the Most Oversold Since 2023 — But the Downside May Not Be Over

The weekly RSI shows a rare signal:
Bitcoin is extremely oversold, reaching a zone last seen in 2023.

BTC/USD 1-week chart - TradingView

Historically, such readings have triggered strong reversals — but only after the downtrend exhausts itself.
During heavy crashes, these oversold periods can extend for weeks or months:

• 2018 breakdown from 6K
• 2020 COVID crash
• 2022 post-FTX collapse

This means that while oversold, Bitcoin may still fall further before forming a real bottom.

Bitcoin Chart Analysis: What's Happening to Bitcoin Price

Based on the 4-hour chart:

BTC/USD 4-hour chart - TradingView

1. Loss of the $100,000 support

• Bitcoin already lost the psychological 100K level convincingly.
• This triggered a wave of panic selling.

2. Price hovering above the $92,870 support

• This is the next major structural support.
• Bitcoin is attempting to stabilize here, but momentum remains bearish.

3. Stoch RSI shows a potential bounce

• A short-term relief rally is possible.
• But until higher resistance levels are reclaimed, this is likely just a temporary reaction, not a trend reversal.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: How Low Can Bitcoin Fall?

Based on trend structure, oversold momentum, and historical fractals:

Short-Term Bearish Scenario

If $92,870 breaks:

• $90,000 becomes the next immediate target.
• Breaking 90K intensifies the crash.

Medium-Term Downside Targets

• $88,000
• $82,000
• $74,000–$78,000 (typical deep-cycle bottom zone)

Bullish Reversal Scenario (less likely right now)

A meaningful recovery starts only if Bitcoin:

• Reclaims $100,000,
• Then breaks $106,000 with strong volume.

Until these two levels are recovered, the trend remains decisively bearish.