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The Federal Reserve ends QT: The main liquidity switch has been flipped, and a silent bull market is taking shape.

The Federal Reserve ends QT: The main liquidity switch has been flipped, and a silent bull market is taking shape.

BTC_ChopsticksBTC_Chopsticks2025/12/05 05:33
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By:BTC_Chopsticks

In the past few weeks, the market has seemed boring, flat, and completely lacking in volatility.

Mainstream assets are moving sideways, sentiment is sluggish, and retail investors are dormant.

But on the macro level, something has quietly happened that is enough to change the entire cycle:

The Federal Reserve has officially ended QT (Quantitative Tightening)—the biggest brake on global risk assets has been completely released.

This is not just verbal rhetoric, but a structural change at the level of the balance sheet data.

The real liquidity switch has already been quietly flipped on a silent night, without any fanfare.

The Federal Reserve ends QT: The main liquidity switch has been flipped, and a silent bull market is taking shape. image 0

1. QT Ends: Two Years of Liquidity Bleeding Finally Stops

Over the past two years, the market has faced:

Continuous reduction of the balance sheet


Bank reserves being drained


Risk assets under pressure


Liquidity constantly evaporating


This has been the biggest root cause of all assets moving sideways or weakening.

But now, the situation has changed:

Liquidity is no longer flowing out.

The pressure is completely lifted.

Expansion mode is starting.

This is the most important but overlooked macro turning point of this cycle.

The Federal Reserve ends QT: The main liquidity switch has been flipped, and a silent bull market is taking shape. image 1

2. Back to 2019: What Happened After the Last QT Ended?

History provides us with the clearest reference.

The last time QT ended: August 2019.

At that time:

The market also seemed lifeless


Sentiment was extremely weak


Everyone thought it would move sideways for another year


But what happened next exceeded everyone’s expectations:

In the following six months, mainstream altcoins rebounded massively by 50–60%.

No news, no grand narrative, just the single main thread of “liquidity loosening.”

And now, we are once again standing in the same position.

The Federal Reserve ends QT: The main liquidity switch has been flipped, and a silent bull market is taking shape. image 2

3. Retail Investors Wait for “QE Return” News, but Whales Never Wait

Retail investors always think:

“Wait for QE to return, wait for the media to confirm, wait for analysts to call a bull market before getting in.”

But real market moves never work that way.

The historical pattern is:

Headline news always lags behind


The real rally starts when no one is paying attention


Whales quietly accumulate during the silent period


By the time retail investors see the signal, the easiest gains are already over


The silent period is a common feature of all major reversals.


4. Bank Reserves Are No Longer Being Drained, Liquidity Begins to Slowly Flow Back to the Market

The key turning point brought by the end of QT:

Banks are no longer losing reserves


Assets are no longer passively shrinking


The market no longer faces a “black hole” of disappearing liquidity


New money is starting to flow back into risk assets


And among all risk assets:

Cryptocurrencies are always the “first beneficiaries” when liquidity returns—and also the fastest to rise.

Because they are the most sensitive and directly reflect changes in US dollar liquidity.


5. Everyone Watches Interest Rate Decisions, but the Real Money Switch Is Hidden in the Balance Sheet

Almost everyone in the market is watching:

Interest rates


Meeting minutes


Federal Reserve speeches


Dot plots


But the real “start signal” has never been in these public contents.

The real key is:

Whether the balance sheet structure has stopped shrinking.

And this time—

It has completely stopped and has begun to expand again.

The sideways movement you see is not “no market,”

but the cold start phase of a new trend.


6. The Bull Market Will Not Start with Fireworks, but with Silence

The characteristics of the market at this moment are very obvious:

Poor sentiment


Low trading volume


No media coverage


Most people are bearish


Whales have already started entering the market


This is exactly the typical environment for a major cycle reversal.

History has proven countless times:

The real bull market never starts in a frenzy, but quietly in silence.


Conclusion:


If the current market could be summarized in one sentence, it would be:

“The liquidity turning point has already appeared, but only the whales have noticed.”

Therefore, the conclusion is very clear:


The market will continue to use “false calm” to cover up real capital flows


Sentiment will remain weak


The opportunity to buy the dip will not last long


Funds will gradually flow back into risk assets


Crypto assets will be the first to react and lead the rally


Altcoins will be the most explosive sector in the next six months


The liquidity cycle has officially shifted from “contraction” to “expansion”


This is precisely the most critical starting point of every major bull market


Don’t wait for news confirmation, don’t wait for KOLs to call the shots, don’t wait for market hype.

The real market move has already started at the silent bottom.

And altcoins are the rocket launchpad at the very front this time.

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