Pirrational KursPi

$PI has slipped out of its old comfort zone. Once price dropped below $0.20, that level stopped acting like a floor and started acting like a ceiling. Instead of bouncing back into the range, the coin simply moved lower and kept going. Right now, PI is holding around $0.18, but the bounce isn’t convincing. Buyers only step in after sharp drops, and even then, the moves up are weak. Because of that, any small rally can easily attract sellers again, keeping the price under pressure. $RIVER

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$PI Network price has come under renewed pressure as the broader cryptocurrency market struggles through the opening weeks of the year. The overall downturn across risk assets has weighed heavily on sentiment, and Pi Coin appears to be feeling this impact even more sharply. Unlike panic driven sell offs, the pressure on Pi is largely structural, tied to supply dynamics rather than sudden fear in the market. As Bitcoin and major altcoins continue to trend lower, Pi’s fragile technical position amplifies its downside risk. Periods like this tend to expose underlying weaknesses, and January is shaping up to be an important stress test for the future direction of the Pi Network price. TOKEN UNLOCKS AND EXCHANGE SUPPLY KEEP PRESSURE ON PRICE Pi Coin remains under steady selling pressure as daily token unlocks continue to expand the circulating supply. More than 4.6 million PI tokens are released into the market each day, steadily reducing scarcity. This ongoing issuance limits the market’s ability to absorb supply, even during short lived relief rallies, and helps explain why Pi Network price has struggled to move higher. The situation becomes more challenging as roughly 55.8 million additional PI tokens are scheduled for release toward the end of the month. These predictable unlocks reinforce expectations of constant availability, discouraging aggressive buying. Investors remain cautious, knowing the increase in supply is mechanical and unavoidable rather than driven by sentiment. Despite recent upgrades aimed at improving app based payments, utility growth has yet to translate into immediate demand. As a result, supply pressure continues to outweigh these positive developments in the short term. Exchange reserves further complicate recovery attempts. Around 419 million $PI tokens are currently held on centralized exchanges, signaling a high readiness to sell. Such large balances often act as overhead resistance, quickly absorbing buying pressure when prices attempt to bounce. This dynamic makes it difficult for Pi Coin price to sustain upward moves once short term demand appears. Together, rising token unlocks and heavy exchange balances define the current Pi Network price outlook. Supply growth continues to outpace organic demand, keeping the market tilted toward distribution. Until exchange balances decline meaningfully, Pi Network price remains structurally constrained. BEARS MAINTAIN CONTROL AS PRICE STRUCTURE BREAKS Technically, $PI Network price has slipped below its previous trading range, turning former support near $0.20 into resistance. This breakdown shifted market behavior from consolidation into trend continuation. Instead of attempting a range recovery, price has moved toward lower demand zones. While $Pi Coin has found temporary support around $0.18, rebounds have been weak and unconvincing. Buyers tend to step in only after sharp drops, acting defensively rather than building sustained positions. This keeps recoveries shallow and leaves price vulnerable to renewed selling on minor rallies. Trend indicators continue to support the bearish bias. $PI Network remains below the parabolic SAR at 0.2084, reinforcing downside pressure. Directional movement metrics show the negative index firmly above the positive one, confirming that sellers remain in control. Meanwhile, an ADX reading around 26 suggests the current trend still has room to continue. If this momentum persists, $PI Coin price could drift toward the $0.15 support zone before any meaningful stabilization occurs. Until price reclaims its former trading range, the broader $Pi Network price outlook remains tilted toward further downside risk. SUMMARY $PI Network price appears to be navigating a challenging January, driven by persistent supply pressure and a clearly bearish market structure. Ongoing token unlocks and elevated exchange balances continue to limit recovery attempts, while technical indicators point toward trend continuation rather than reversal. Unless price can rise back above previous support levels with clear signs of demand absorption, further downside testing remains likely. Until that shift occurs, the longer term Pi Network price outlook remains fragile and under pressure.