AlloraNetworkの‌価格ALLO

$ALLO death ❌

$ALLO has just experienced a classic post-listing panic sell-off, with price collapsing from its initial spike near $1.74 to a new low around $0.2205. The scale of the drop triggered widespread fear across retail traders — but the underlying data reveals a more structured picture beneath the volatility. Below is a breakdown of what the metrics truly signal for the next major price move. 1. Market Structure: Capitulation Phase Confirmed The 4H chart shows a clean capitulation pattern: A vertical drop Consecutive red candles Shrinking volatility at the bottom Price stabilizing around $0.228–$0.23 This reflects a market that has exhausted sellers, but has not yet attracted confident buyers. Panic sellers are gone — disciplined buyers are still waiting. 2. Weak Momentum: EMAs Tell the Story $ALLO is still trading below the EMA5, EMA10, and EMA20, forming a tightly stacked downward slope. This alignment confirms: Momentum remains bearish Buyers are reactive, not proactive Any bounce will be limited unless EMAs start flattening Until the EMA cluster flips, trend reversal probability stays low. 3. Fund Flow Analysis: Who Is Really Buying? The 15-minute fund flow breakdown reveals a very telling pattern: ▪ Large Orders: Negative Net Flow Whales and institutional-style traders are still reducing exposure. This means the market won’t form a strong reversal yet. ▪ Medium Orders: Slight Sell Bias Mid-size traders are also cautious, contributing to sideways pressure. ▪ Small Orders: Positive Net Inflow Retail traders are actively buying the dip, expecting a rebound. Interpretation: Retail accumulation alone is not enough to reverse a post-panic sell-off. The next major move depends almost entirely on whether large-order inflows reappear. 4. Liquidity Levels: The Real Battlefield Two major levels will dictate $ALLO’s next direction: Critical Support — $0.2205 (All-Time Low) A loss of this level would confirm: A new leg down Liquidation-driven selling Momentum continuation Next supports below: $0.205 – $0.185 First Resistance — $0.235–$0.26 A break above this range would show: Strength returning Sellers losing control Start of a possible recovery to $0.289 Right now, $ALLO is sitting exactly between these zones, waiting for a catalyst. 5. Volume Collapse: The Calm Before the Next Move Trading volume has dropped significantly after the initial wave of panic. This creates a setup where: The market is fragile A small inflow or outflow can move price sharply The next move will come suddenly, not gradually This low-volume compression is a classic setup before a volatility expansion. Analyst Forecast: What Comes Next? Scenario A — Bullish Rebound (35% probability) Triggered if: Large-order inflow picks up Price reclaims $0.235–$0.24 EMAs start flattening Targets: $0.259 $0.289 (avg buy zone) Scenario B — Range Consolidation (20% probability) If volume stays low, price may hover between: $0.22–$0.24 This is a neutral period with no trend direction. Scenario C — Bearish Breakdown (45% probability) Triggered if: $0.2205 breaks Sellers return with medium-order pressure Panic selling resumes Downside targets: $0.205 $0.185 At the moment, the data favors continued caution, with bearish pressure still slightly stronger than bullish interest. The panic sell-off has ended, but a reversal has not begun. The market is in a fragile stabilization phase, where retail accumulation is visible but large traders remain on the sidelines. Until smart money re-enters, $ALLO ’s next move will depend entirely on how price reacts at $0.2205 support and $0.24 resistance. A decisive breakout of either level will define the next trend.

$ALLO continues to trade under sustained bearish pressure on the 1-hour chart, with price now positioned near $0.1986 after another failure to generate meaningful upside momentum. The structure remains decisively downward-sloping, as each intraday bounce is quickly absorbed by sellers, keeping the market locked in a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. The latest rejection from the $0.2140–$0.2230 supply zone reinforces the dominance of sellers. This area continues to operate as strong overhead resistance where liquidity is repeatedly trapped before price resumes its decline. The recent compression near the $0.1950 level indicates buyers are attempting to stabilize the market, but the reaction so far appears weak, suggesting limited demand at current levels. Volume dynamics also show a clear imbalance. While occasional spikes occur, overall buying strength remains insufficient to shift trend direction. The 5-period and 10-period moving averages remain aligned in a downward trajectory, reflecting a market controlled by short-term momentum sellers. Any intraday recovery attempts are failing to break above these moving average clusters, confirming the absence of trend reversal signals. If ALLO maintains support above $0.1950, a short-term relief bounce toward $0.2050–$0.2120 is possible. However, a breakdown below this key support could expose deeper liquidity toward $0.1880 and potentially into the broader demand region around $0.1780. Market sentiment remains cautious. Bulls must reclaim the $0.2140 zone to signal a structural shift, while bears maintain clear control until a decisive reversal pattern emerges.

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