Zchanの‌価格ZEC

$ZEC Executive Summary Zcash (ZEC) is currently trading near $508–$515 in a bullish Elliott Wave impulse structure with strong Gann channel confluence signals. Based on multi-timeframe technical analysis, ZEC exhibits a Wave 3 impulse (70–85% complete) with high-probability reversal zones forming at $535–$559. Recent news confirms institutional momentum: ZEC surged 600% in 2025 and remains in an ascending channel, up 53% over 30 days. However, indicator divergence on 12H–8H timeframes suggests consolidation before the next leg higher. Multi-Timeframe Gann & Elliott Wave Framework Daily Timeframe (Foundation) Elliott Wave Status: Wave 3 impulse in progress; price has cleared Wave 1 ($160–$342) and Wave 2 correction ($332–$402). Gann Angles from Major Swing: Drawing from the December low ($160) and recent high ($555.76), the 1×1 Gann angle aligns near $480–$500, while the 2×1 angle projects toward $535–$559. EMA Alignment: EMA5 ($508.45) > EMA10 ($498.09) > EMA20 ($477.27) confirms bullish structure. MACD Divergence: DIF ($22.70) > DEA ($16.87) with positive HIST ($11.66) signals momentum, but the declining HIST series (from $28.95 to $11.66 over 5 candles) indicates weakening momentum—a classic Wave 3 exhaustion signal. Bollinger Bands: Price ($508) sits near the middle band ($463.28), suggesting consolidation before breakout. Support/Resistance: Daily support at $424.94; resistance at $553.41. 12H–8H Intermediate Validation (Confluence Zone) 12H MACD Divergence: DIF (−0.72) crossed below DEA (−5.03), with HIST turning positive (+8.62). This bullish crossover on 12H confirms Wave 3 continuation but signals a short-term pause. RSI Extremes: 12H RSI6 at 87.83 (overbought) and RSI12 at 68.33 indicate profit-taking pressure. This is a classic divergence signal—price making new highs while momentum indicators weaken. 8H Mirror Pattern: 8H RSI6 (85.27) and MACD HIST (+8.49) mirror 12H structure, confirming the consolidation zone. Gann Confluence: The 1×1 angle from the December low intersects with the 2×1 angle from the swing high near $535–$545, creating a high-probability reversal zone. KDJ Alignment: 12H K (82.16) > D (75.45) with J (95.57) above both signals overbought conditions; 8H mirrors this, suggesting a pullback to $500–$510 is likely before breakout. 4H–2H Tactical Levels (Entry/Exit Zones) 4H MACD Bearish Divergence: DIF (−6.74) < DEA (−5.10) with negative HIST (−3.28) signals short-term weakness. Price ($502) is below EMA5 ($502.32), indicating a micro-correction. 2H Recovery Signal: MACD HIST turned positive (+3.44) with DIF (−4.76) approaching DEA (−6.48), suggesting a bounce is forming in the 4H–2H window. Support Cascade: 2H support at $508.06; 4H support at $438.09. The $500–$510 zone acts as a dynamic support for Wave 3 continuation. Elliott Wave Cycle Projection Wave 3 Target: Assuming Wave 3 is 1.618× Wave 1 ($160–$342 = $182 range), Wave 3 projects to $615–$633 (from Wave 2 low of $332 + $283–$301). Wave 4 Correction: After Wave 3 peaks, expect a Wave 4 pullback to $555–$575 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of Wave 3). Wave 5 Extension: Wave 5 could target $699–$750 if Wave 5 = Wave 1 or Wave 5 = 0.618× Wave 3. Indicator Divergence Analysis 🔍 TimeframeMACD StatusRSI SignalDivergence TypeImplicationDailyPositive but decliningRSI 57.72 (neutral)Momentum weakeningWave 3 nearing exhaustion12HBullish crossoverRSI6 87.83 (overbought)Bullish divergence + overboughtConsolidation before breakout 8HPositive HISTRSI6 85.27 (overbought)Overbought confirmationShort-term pullback likely 4HBearish (negative HIST)RSI 60.23 (neutral)Bearish divergenceMicro-correction in progress2HBullish crossoverRSI 73.77 (overbought)Recovery signalBounce forming Key Divergence: Daily MACD declining while price holds above $500 suggests hidden bullish divergence—a strong Wave 3 continuation signal after consolidation. Order Book & Fund Flow Insights Bid/Ask Imbalance: Ask 5-volume (190.17) < Bid 5-volume (213.59), indicating buyer dominance at current levels. Large Orders: Significant bids at $513.30 (638.68 ZEC) and $513.10 (576.90 ZEC) suggest institutional accumulation. 24H Net Flow: Total net outflow of −1,396.37 ZEC (large orders −1,334.32), indicating profit-taking by whales, but small/medium orders remain positive (+24.72), showing retail accumulation. News Catalyst & Sentiment Recent news confirms bullish fundamentals: beincrypto reports ZEC remains in an ascending channel with strong dip-buying ($16.63M outflows on Dec 31 signal accumulation). Additionally, tipranks highlights that 2026 marks a shift toward "industrialized privacy," with institutional adoption of private stablecoins and protocols like Aztec graduating to production—bullish for ZEC's long-term narrative. Trading Plan & Action Levels 📊 Conservative Accumulation Strategy Entry Zone 1: $500–$510 (current support; Wave 3 continuation) Entry Zone 2: $515–$520 (Gann 1×1 angle; dip-buy confirmation) Stop Loss: $485 (below daily EMA20; Wave 3 invalidation) Target 1: $535–$545 (Gann confluence; Wave 3 mid-point) Target 2: $559–$575 (Gann 2×1 angle; Wave 3 peak) Target 3: $615–$633 (Wave 5 projection) Aggressive Breakout Strategy Entry: Close above $559 on daily chart (Wave 3 breakout confirmation) Stop Loss: $535 (below Gann confluence) Target: $615–$699 (Wave 5 extension) Risk Management Use 2% position sizing per trade due to regulatory risks and overbought 12H–8H conditions. Profit-taking: Close 50% at $545; trail stop on remaining 50% to $560. Consolidation Watch: If price consolidates 3+ days below $520, reassess Wave 3 structure. Regulatory & Macro Risks ⚠️ ZEC faces ongoing regulatory scrutiny due to privacy features. The 2026 shift toward "conditional privacy" and institutional adoption may ease regulatory pressure, but remain vigilant for policy announcements. The $16.63M outflow on Dec 31 suggests some profit-taking, but the ascending channel structure remains intact. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile; past performance is not indicative of future results. Manage your positions carefully and use appropriate stop-losses. Gann angles and Elliott Wave analysis are subjective tools with varying reliability across market conditions. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before trading. Analysis Time: 2026-01-03$ETH $BTC

📊 ZEC (Zcash) Market Update — Today 🔹 Price: ~$514 USD per ZEC (live price) 🔹 24 h Change: Slight dip from previous close 🔹 24 h High / Low: ~$529 / ~$482 🔹 Market Cap: Around ~$8 B (varies by source) � 🔹 24 h Volume: Hundreds of millions in active trading � 🔹 Circulating Supply: ~16.4 M ZEC � Coinbase +1 Coinbase CoinMarketCap 📈 Market Highlights: 🌐 Zcash remains a privacy-focused cryptocurrency with optional shielded transactions using zk-SNARK tech. � 📊 Price has shown mixed short-term trends across exchanges but generally holds strong interest among traders and investors. � 💰 Market cap and trading volumes indicate solid liquidity compared to many altcoins. � Wikipedia CoinMarketCap CoinMarketCap

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