YFI has dropped 7.68% over the past week during a period of heightened volatility and ongoing downward momentum
- YFI fell 7.68% weekly to $4747, reflecting ongoing bearish sentiment amid broader market weakness. - Technical indicators show bearish alignment (EMA/SMA below price) and key support at $4500–$4600 as critical near-term levels. - Historical backtesting reveals limited post-crash recovery potential, with buy-and-hold win rates between 48-62% after 10%+ drops. - YFI remains vulnerable to further declines without a significant shift in market dynamics or bullish catalysts.
As of November 12, 2025, YFI slipped 0.1% over the past day to settle at $4,747, extending the downward momentum after a 7.68% loss over the previous week. Although the token managed a slight 1.1% increase in the last month, it remains down 40.46% compared to the same period last year. This recent price movement underscores persistent bearish sentiment amid a prevailing bear market.
YFI continues to trade beneath important moving averages, hinting at a possible continuation of its downward trend. Both the 50-day EMA and 200-day SMA are positioned bearishly, confirming the negative outlook. The RSI currently reads a neutral 54, indicating the token is neither overbought nor oversold and is consolidating after recent steep declines. The MACD is in negative territory and has crossed under its signal line, further supporting the bearish perspective.
Technical signals point to a need for caution among traders. If YFI retests the crucial support zone between $4,500 and $4,600, this area may provide a temporary base in the short run. Should the price fall below this support, it could pave the way toward $4,300, with additional downside risks depending on the broader market environment. Conversely, a sustained move above $4,850 might indicate a shift in sentiment and spark a short-term upward move.
The token has shown minimal reaction to short-term price swings. A historical backtest covering January 1, 2022, through November 12, 2025, identified 21 occasions where YFI fell by 10% or more in a single session. On average, the token rebounded by about 5.7% by the tenth trading day after such drops. However, none of these recoveries were statistically significant, suggesting there is no consistent bullish pattern immediately following sharp declines.
Buy-and-hold strategies initiated after a daily drop of –10% showed win rates between 48% and 62%, indicating that traders generally failed to achieve reliable gains by entering positions after major selloffs. This finding is consistent with YFI’s ongoing struggle to maintain levels above previous resistance, reinforcing the view that the token remains in a bearish cycle.
Backtest Hypothesis
The backtest utilized a standard event-driven approach with a 30-day trading window and parameters based on closing prices. Results indicate that while YFI has frequently experienced single-day declines of more than 10%, it has not consistently delivered statistically significant gains afterward. This analysis supports the technical assessment that YFI currently lacks a strong short-term bullish driver and remains susceptible to further declines unless broader market conditions improve.
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
Cardano News Today: Balancing Privacy and Regulation: Three Cryptocurrency Initiatives Transforming the Industry
- Privacy-focused blockchains gain traction as Zcash (ZEC) surges 1,172% YTD, leveraging zk-SNARKs for 20-25% shielded transactions. - Midnight (MIDNIGHT), a Cardano-based privacy sidechain, combines GDPR compliance with hybrid consensus, attracting institutional interest since 2023. - Cardano (ADA) expands DeFi ecosystem with $500M+ TVL, aligning privacy-first vision with 2025 regulatory clarity to boost institutional adoption. - Privacy coins like Zcash and Midnight reflect growing demand for confidentia

Bitcoin Updates: Surge in Stablecoin Deposits Signals a Bullish Shift for Bitcoin
- Binance's 102.11% Bitcoin reserve ratio and $41B stablecoin inflows in Q3 2025 signal strong liquidity amid bullish market conditions. - Historical patterns show Bitcoin's current liquidity setup mirrors pre-2020 rally conditions, with SSR at 13 indicating potential price rebounds. - Analysts project $110,000-$115,000 targets for Q1 2026, but caution structural support at current levels could precede deeper corrections.

Operational challenges and disagreements among investors have cast uncertainty over Cloud IP's projections for 2028
- International Paper (IP) reports $1.1B Q3 loss despite $6.22B sales, with 2025 net sales projected at $24B amid mill reliability challenges. - Extended Sylvamo supply agreement through 2026 highlights asset optimization but raises execution risks as Riverdale Mill conversion threatens supply chain stability. - Institutional investors show mixed stances: Resona increased 9.5% stake while BMO cut holdings by 26.5%, reflecting uncertainty over -381.30 P/E ratio and 4.9% dividend yield. - Analysts remain spl

Ethereum Updates Today: Aero Connects Blockchains as DeFi Moves Entirely On-Chain
- Aerodrome and Velodrome merge to form Aero, a cross-chain DeFi hub launching Q2 2026, unifying Ethereum Layer 2 liquidity and expanding to mainnet and Circle's Arc blockchain. - AERO token allocation reflects Aerodrome's 94.5% TVL dominance ($479M vs. Velodrome's $55M), balancing stakeholder incentives while avoiding over-dilution per DeFi governance experts. - Aero introduces arbitrage revenue capture, zero-knowledge integrations, and a unified cross-chain interface, aiming to capture 10-15% of Layer 2
