Bitget App
Trade smarter
Buy cryptoMarketsTradeFuturesEarnSquareMore
XRP Price Bounces, But One “Unlucky 13″% Threat Still Lingers

XRP Price Bounces, But One “Unlucky 13″% Threat Still Lingers

BeInCryptoBeInCrypto2025/11/24 03:00
By:Ananda Banerjee

The XRP price is up about 2.3% in the past 24 hours and has trimmed its weekly losses to under 7%. The bounce looks healthy at first glance, especially after the bottoming signs we tracked earlier this week. But the structure behind this bounce hasn’t improved enough. A critical risk is back on the table

The XRP price is up about 2.3% in the past 24 hours and has trimmed its weekly losses to under 7%. The bounce looks healthy at first glance, especially after the bottoming signs we tracked earlier this week. But the structure behind this bounce hasn’t improved enough.

A critical risk is back on the table — a setup that could push the XRP price down by over 13%.

Momentum Improves, but Volume and Supply Pressure Compete

XRP’s short-term strength starts with On-Balance Volume (OBV). OBV shows whether real volume is entering or leaving the market. XRP’s OBV has finally moved above its short trend line, hinting that buyers are returning.

But this move carries a warning. OBV tried the same breakout on November 18 and failed. That failure triggered a 19% drop between November 18 and November 21.

The latest push above the line is only marginal, not a clean breakout. If it slips again, the same pattern could repeat.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter 

XRP Price Bounces, But One “Unlucky 13″% Threat Still Lingers image 0XRP Faces Trendline Risk: TradingView

There is also supply pressure overhead. The cost-basis heatmap shows a dense cluster between $2.16 and $2.17, where roughly 1.36 billion XRP sits, worth almost $2.86 billion. These holders sit near breakeven and often sell into small recoveries.

XRP Price Bounces, But One “Unlucky 13″% Threat Still Lingers image 1Strong Supply Clusters Sit Overhead: Glassnode

If OBV weakens while the XRP price faces this supply zone, the bounce can fade quickly.

Still, OBV moving higher is one of the few positives for now. A decisive break above 6.93 billion on the OBV chart would confirm stronger volume support and improve XRP’s odds of clearing resistance.

XRP Price Action: The Unlucky 13% Risk Still Hangs Over XRP

Even with a mild recovery, the XRP price still trades under the major moving averages. The 100-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the 200-day EMA are both angled down, and the 100-day is now about to cross below the 200-day.

An exponential moving average gives more weight to recent prices, so it reacts faster than a simple moving average. When the 100-day EMA drops under the 200-day EMA, a bearish crossover forms. And it can amplify the downside.

This is the core risk for XRP right now. If the crossover completes, the XRP price could slide toward $1.81, which is the same bottoming zone the recent candles have pointed to. That would be a 13% dip from the current levels. If sellers stay active while the crossover forms, XRP could easily revisit that level. Even the previous OBV breakout failure amplifies the risk of a similar XRP price drop.

XRP Price Bounces, But One “Unlucky 13″% Threat Still Lingers image 2XRP Price Analysis: TradingView

There is one way out, though!

A clean daily close above $2.25 would weaken the crossover setup. That move would also show buyers breaking through the $2.16–$2.17 supply wall, where about 1.36 billion XRP sit. Holding above $2.25 would allow the 100-day EMA to curl upward again and reduce the crossover impact.

Until that happens, the bearish EMA structure keeps the 13% XRP price downside threat alive, even with OBV turning up.

Read the article at BeInCrypto
0

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

PoolX: Earn new token airdrops
Lock your assets and earn 10%+ APR
Lock now!

You may also like

Apeing’s approach of targeting early adopters is driving the latest major trend in cryptocurrency investments

- Apeing ($APEING) leads 2025 crypto social feeds with a $0.0001 presale entry offering projected 10,000% ROI via limited whitelist access. - Binance Coin ($BNB), Litecoin ($LTC), Avalanche ($AVAX), and Chainlink ($LINK) gain traction for utility-driven infrastructure and transactional roles. - Market shifts toward community-driven assets follow Binance's legal challenges, with Apeing's meme branding and audit transparency attracting early adopters. - Shiba Inu ($SHIB) and FLOKI ($FLOKI) show resilience th

Bitget-RWA2025/11/29 01:50
Apeing’s approach of targeting early adopters is driving the latest major trend in cryptocurrency investments

Kalshi’s Federal Argument Rejected as Court Upholds State Gambling Laws

- Nevada judge rules Kalshi's sports-event contracts as unlicensed gambling under state law, rejecting its federal derivatives defense. - Market reacts with betting firms like DraftKings and Flutter seeing stock gains, while Kalshi seeks emergency appeal to block enforcement. - Ruling strengthens state regulators' stance, potentially influencing cases in New Jersey, Illinois, and Ohio, highlighting federal-state jurisdiction tensions.

Bitget-RWA2025/11/29 01:50
Kalshi’s Federal Argument Rejected as Court Upholds State Gambling Laws

Investors Turn to Apeing's Organized Approach as Interest in BONK and FLOKI Declines

- Apeing ($APEING) gains traction as a 100x meme coin with a $0.0001 presale price and $0.001 listing target, contrasting with waning momentum in BONK and FLOKI. - The project's whitelist model and controlled supply tiers aim to stabilize speculative dynamics, drawing comparisons to Bitcoin's early adoption curve. - Upbit's $36M hack triggered Korean altcoin volatility, amplifying microcap token interest while GeeFi (GEE) raises $350K in its 80% complete presale. - Bitcoin options show $2B in $80,000 put p

Bitget-RWA2025/11/29 01:50
Investors Turn to Apeing's Organized Approach as Interest in BONK and FLOKI Declines

Solana News Update: XRP Surpasses Solana in ETF Competition While Fee Wars Reshape Financial Contests

- XRP ETFs outpace Solana in inflows due to aggressive fee wars and institutional strategies, accumulating $587M in under 10 days. - Solana proposes doubling disinflation rate to 30% to curb supply-side pressures, but success depends on broader DAT adoption. - Market fragmentation sees yield-driven XRP and staking-focused Solana competing for institutional capital amid ETF redemptions in Bitcoin/Ethereum. - Structural risks like MSCI's treasury reclassifications could trigger $8.8B passive outflows, reshap

Bitget-RWA2025/11/29 01:50
Solana News Update: XRP Surpasses Solana in ETF Competition While Fee Wars Reshape Financial Contests