Standard Chartered halves Bitcoin price forecast to $100K by year-end

Key Takeaways

• Standard Chartered has halved its 2025 Bitcoin price forecast to $100,000 due to declining institutional demand.
• Future Bitcoin price movements are expected to be driven primarily by ETF inflows after aggressive corporate buying slows.

Standard Chartered has revised its Bitcoin price outlook, cutting its year-end target to $100,000, which represents half of its previous $200,000 forecast.

The bank has also pushed its long-term $500,000 projection out to 2030, citing weakening demand and slow institutional adoption.

Analysts say the rally driven by aggressive corporate accumulation, including large-scale purchases by Strategy, has largely run its course. As a result, future gains now depend more heavily on ETF inflows, which have dropped to 50,000 BTC per quarter, the lowest level since US spot Bitcoin ETFs started trading.

Strategy added 10,754 BTC in the past two weeks, bringing its total holdings to more than 660,600 BTC.

Other factors contributing to the revision include a pause in Bitcoin’s uptrend, political pressure on the Fed, and uncertainty around future monetary policy, all of which reduce the near-term catalysts for price growth.