- Daily bull flag breakout failed to hold, triggering a fakeout
- If bullish momentum resumes, Bitcoin could test $100.7K–$102.7K
- Ongoing updates expected as market structure evolves
Understanding the Bull Flag Fakeout
The recent price action showed Bitcoin appearing to break out of a classic bull flag pattern on the daily chart. Typically, this indicates a continuation of an existing bullish trend. However, in this case, BTC failed to retest and hold above the upper resistance, suggesting a bull flag fakeout. This failure raises concerns about potential short-term weakness and trader shakeouts.
Can Momentum Still Fuel a Move Above $100K?
Despite the initial breakdown, all hope isn’t lost. If Bitcoin regains its upside momentum, the next target zone could lie between $100,700 and $102,700. This range represents a logical resistance cluster—previous swing highs and volume-weighted average price levels—all aligning with potential profit-taking areas. Should BTC punch through convincingly, it could reignite confidence and validate the larger bullish thesis.
What to Watch for Next
1. Reclaim of Flag Resistance
A meaningful close above the upper boundary of the bull flag—ideally on daily candle basis—would signal renewed strength. Watch for increased volume confirming any breakout attempt.
2. Momentum Indicators
Oscillators like MACD or RSI maintaining bullish bias, and potential “golden crosses,” could support bullish continuation and bolster the case for a break above $100K.
3. Fakeout Follow‑Through
If BTC instead continues downward, invalidating the bull flag breakout, it may lead to a deeper pullback. Key supports to monitor include prior flag low and major moving averages.
Outlook & Next Steps
- Bullish Scenario: If BTC reclaims flag resistance, look for momentum drive into the $100‑102K range.
- Bearish Scenario: Failure to sustain recovery may prompt further downside or consolidation.
- Action: Stay alert to BTC holding above daily resistance. Be ready for updates as price action unfolds.
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