Bitget App
Trade smarter
Buy cryptoMarketsTradeFuturesEarnSquareMore
Bitcoin May See Short-Term Volatility After $4.8B Options Expiry as $3.83B BTC Positions Tilt Put-Heavy

Bitcoin May See Short-Term Volatility After $4.8B Options Expiry as $3.83B BTC Positions Tilt Put-Heavy

CoinotagCoinotag2025/08/22 18:35
By:Sheila Belson

  • $4.8B expired on Deribit, including BTC and ETH

  • Expiry concentrated in Bitcoin ($3.83B) with ETH at $948M, tilting BTC toward put-heavy hedges

  • Expiry represented ~8% of total open interest and may cause transient volatility in the coming sessions

Deribit options expiry: $4.8B expired across BTC and ETH, elevating volatility—read the breakdown and hedging insights. Explore the analysis and next steps.





What is the market impact of the Deribit options expiry?

The Deribit options expiry removed over $4.8 billion notional from BTC and ETH options markets, shifting short-term risk as traders close or roll positions. Immediate effects typically include elevated intraday volatility and price pressure where large put or call clusters existed.

How did the $4.8B expiry break down between BTC and ETH?

Bitcoin options accounted for approximately $3.83 billion of the expiry, while Ethereum options totaled roughly $948 million. BTC expiry showed a put/call bias (~1.31 put/call), while ETH leaned toward call interest (~0.82 put/call). These ratios indicate a heavier downside hedge presence in BTC.

Why does a put-heavy BTC positioning matter?

Put-heavy options indicate more downside protection or bearish bets, which can translate to selling pressure as delta hedges are adjusted. When large put blocks expire, market makers may reduce short-delta exposure, potentially amplifying short-term downside moves if bids thin out.

When should traders expect volatility after expiry?

Volatility often spikes within 24–72 hours after major expiries as positions are settled and liquidity rebalances. Historical patterns show transient moves rather than sustained trends, and macro events can either mitigate or exacerbate the expiry impact.




Frequently Asked Questions

How much notional expired and how was it distributed?

Over $4.8 billion expired in total: about $3.83 billion in Bitcoin options and $948 million in Ethereum options. BTC showed a put/call tilt (~1.31), while ETH had more call interest (~0.82).

Will this expiry trigger sustained market trends?

Expiry-driven moves are typically short-lived. Sustained trends require reinforcement from macro catalysts or persistent changes in liquidity and positioning.

Key Takeaways

  • Scale of expiry: $4.8B notional expired on Deribit, concentrated in BTC ($3.83B) and ETH ($948M).
  • Put-heavy BTC: Bitcoin expiry was skewed toward puts, indicating downside hedging and potential short-term pressure.
  • Volatility window: Expect elevated intraday volatility for 24–72 hours as positions settle and liquidity adjusts.

Conclusion

The Deribit options expiry removed a significant $4.8 billion notional from BTC and ETH markets, producing a put-heavy bias in Bitcoin and signaling a near-term volatility window. COINOTAG will monitor order flow, open interest changes, and macro catalysts to inform next-step analysis and risk guidance.

Publication date: 2025-08-22 | Author: COINOTAG

In Case You Missed It: XRP Consolidates Between $2.50 and $3.35 as $3.65 Breakout Could Prompt New Price Discovery
0

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

PoolX: Earn new token airdrops
Lock your assets and earn 10%+ APR
Lock now!

You may also like

2025 TGE Survival Ranking: Who Will Rise to the Top and Who Will Fall? Complete Grading of 30+ New Tokens, AVICI Dominates S+

The article analyzes the TGE performance of multiple blockchain projects, evaluating project performance using three dimensions: current price versus all-time high, time span, and liquidity-to-market cap ratio. Projects are then categorized into five grades: S, A, B, C, and D. Summary generated by Mars AI This summary was generated by the Mars AI model, and the accuracy and completeness of its content are still being iteratively updated.

MarsBit2025/11/28 16:26
2025 TGE Survival Ranking: Who Will Rise to the Top and Who Will Fall? Complete Grading of 30+ New Tokens, AVICI Dominates S+

Mars Finance | "Machi" increases long positions, profits exceed 10 million dollars, whale shorts 1,000 BTC

Russian households have invested 3.7 billion rubles in cryptocurrency derivatives, mainly dominated by a few large players. INTERPOL has listed cryptocurrency fraud as a global threat. Malicious Chrome extensions are stealing Solana funds. The UK has proposed new tax regulations for DeFi. Bitcoin surpasses $91,000. Summary generated by Mars AI. The accuracy and completeness of this summary are still being iteratively updated by the Mars AI model.

MarsBit2025/11/28 16:26
Mars Finance | "Machi" increases long positions, profits exceed 10 million dollars, whale shorts 1,000 BTC

How much is ETH really worth? Hashed provides 10 different valuation methods in one go

After taking a weighted average, the fair price of ETH exceeds $4,700.

ForesightNews 速递2025/11/28 15:05
How much is ETH really worth? Hashed provides 10 different valuation methods in one go

Dragonfly partner: Crypto has fallen into financial cynicism, and those valuing public blockchains with PE ratios have already lost

People tend to overestimate what can happen in two years, but underestimate what can happen in ten years.

深潮2025/11/28 14:53
Dragonfly partner: Crypto has fallen into financial cynicism, and those valuing public blockchains with PE ratios have already lost