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Ethereum Could Extend Rally to $7,000–$8,000 in Q4 if $3,600–$3,800 Support Holds

Ethereum Could Extend Rally to $7,000–$8,000 in Q4 if $3,600–$3,800 Support Holds

CoinotagCoinotag2025/09/28 16:00
By:Sheila Belson

  • Key validation: Hold $3,600–$3,800 to keep bullish scenario intact.

  • Breakout target: $4,800–$5,000 acts as the final resistance before price discovery.

  • Q4 context: Historical Q4 performance has produced near-double gains from similar setups.

Ethereum price outlook: Hold $3,600–$3,800 support; watch $4,800 breakout to unlock $7k targets. Read the latest analysis and trade considerations now.



Ethereum holds the $3,600–$3,800 support range as analysts project a breakout toward $7,000–$8,000 in Q4.

  • Ethereum’s reclaimed $3,600–$3,800 range is viewed as the decisive validation level for confirming bullish continuation.
  • Analysts identify $4,800–$5,000 as the final resistance, with a clear breakout unlocking $6,800–$7,200 targets.
  • Historical Q4 performance adds weight to projections, with previous similar setups leading to near double gains.

Ethereum’s recent pullback has done little to shake bullish projections from market analysts. Mr. Wall Street, posting on X, stated that “bearish noise will only fuel the huge rally,” placing price expectations between $7,000 and $8,000 before the end of Q4. His view centers on Ethereum’s ability to maintain structure above key levels, particularly the reclaimed accumulation range between $3,600 and $3,800.

What is the Ethereum price outlook?

Ethereum price outlook currently centers on defending the $3,600–$3,800 accumulation range as the primary condition for bullish continuation. If that band holds, analysts expect a measured move toward $4,800–$5,000 and a potential Q4 acceleration into $6,800–$8,000 on confirmed breakout and rising momentum.

How important is the $3,600–$3,800 support band?

The $3,600–$3,800 band functions as the immediate validation zone. Analysts note that a sustained trade above this level preserves the multi-month structure and keeps higher targets valid. A decisive break below would likely reopen lower supports near $2,900 and the long-term accumulation base at $1,500.

Long Term Accumulation Base

The $1,500 zone marked a long entry region throughout 2022 and 2023, forming the primary accumulation base of the previous cycle. Price has since advanced through multiple resistance layers, converting former barriers into support.

Ethereum Could Extend Rally to $7,000–$8,000 in Q4 if $3,600–$3,800 Support Holds image 0

Source: Mr. Wall Street on X

Notably, the mid range band near $3,600–$3,800 has now become the first major checkpoint for any continuation scenario. This zone acts as the validation layer. Any break beneath it could open retracement levels toward $2,900 or even $2,000.

However, as long as Ethereum trades above it, analysts maintain confidence in the existing trend. The visible moving average positioned beneath price supports that stance, offering structural backing.

How would a break above $4,800 change the outlook?

A confirmed break above $4,800–$5,000 signals the end of the previous resistance framework and the start of price discovery. Analysts define this state as when historical resistance references become less relevant and upside accelerates toward the $6,800–$7,200 zone, with higher-end scenarios reaching $7,000–$8,000 in Q4.

The outlined framework identifies $4,800–$5,000 as the final resistance from the previous cycle. A confirmed breach would place price into what analysts define as “price discovery,” where historical reference points no longer apply.

Historical Q4 Performance Adds Context

Reference to previous quarterly performance also surfaced in the shared commentary. Mister Crypto noted that the last time Ethereum closed Q3 at comparable levels, Q4 delivered nearly double the performance.

That historical comparison now frames the current consolidation as a potentially similar launching point. However, execution rests on one key condition: Ethereum must continue defending the $3,600–$3,800 base.

Frequently Asked Questions

What levels should traders watch for a bullish confirmation?

Traders should watch retention of $3,600–$3,800 for validation and a breakout above $4,800–$5,000 to confirm the next leg up toward $6,800–$7,200 or higher.

How likely is a Q4 rally based on historical performance?

Historical Q4s from similar setups resulted in strong upside; analysts cite past Q4s that nearly doubled prices from comparable consolidation ranges, supporting the current bullish thesis if structure holds.

When would bearish risk re-emerge?

Bearish risk becomes prominent if price closes and sustains below $3,600, which could prompt a retracement to lower cycle supports near $2,900 or $2,000.

Key Takeaways

  • Validation level: Hold $3,600–$3,800 to keep bullish scenario intact.
  • Breakout trigger: A confirmed move above $4,800–$5,000 opens price discovery to $6,800–$7,200.
  • Action item: Monitor closing behavior and volume around key levels; align risk management to $3,600 support.

Conclusion

In summary, the Ethereum price outlook remains constructive while the $3,600–$3,800 accumulation band holds. A breakout above $4,800–$5,000 would validate targets in the $6,800–$8,000 area for Q4. Market participants should watch support, volume, and confirmed closes to act on this framework. COINOTAG will continue to track developments and update guidance as conditions evolve.




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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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