- Crypto trades above VWAP but fails to gain upside momentum
- Elevated volatility and liquidations halt bullish breakout
- Short positions by bears may fuel the next rally
The crypto market is currently facing a tug-of-war. Even though prices are trading above the 24-hour Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP), we are not seeing the expected bullish breakout. The reason? High volatility and rapid liquidations on both sides are causing sharp reversals, preventing a clean move into the green zone.
Traders are being stopped out frequently, and this has created an uncertain environment. Each time the market tries to push higher, a wave of liquidations brings it back down. This choppy action is typical of a market unsure of its direction, especially after recent rapid price movements.
Bears Are Betting Big—And That’s Bullish
Interestingly, while volatility continues to dominate, bears have been aggressively opening short positions. This means they’re betting that the price will fall. However, in crypto, extreme positioning in one direction often leads to a powerful move in the opposite direction.
Why? Because if the market starts to move up, those short sellers will be forced to buy back (cover) their positions, adding buying pressure and accelerating the rally. This setup often results in a short squeeze—a rapid price surge caused by panic buying from those who bet against the market.
Volatility May Soon Be Fuel, Not Friction
For now, volatility is acting as a barrier. But once it begins to cool, all those bearish bets could turn into rocket fuel. When traders stop getting liquidated as frequently, the market will have a chance to build steady momentum.
And with prices already above VWAP—a key bullish indicator—we could see a strong upside move once the noise settles. Timing is key, and patient bulls may soon be rewarded.
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