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In this bull market, even those who stand still will be eliminated: only "capital rotation" can survive the entire cycle.

In this bull market, even those who stand still will be eliminated: only "capital rotation" can survive the entire cycle.

BTC_ChopsticksBTC_Chopsticks2025/11/17 07:13
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By:BTC_Chopsticks

In the crypto market, most people are destined to lose money during a bull run—not because of bad luck, but because they don’t know how to move.

Still obsessed with airdrops, hoping for the next meme wave?

There’s only one way for people to truly survive this cycle: Rotation.

Capital is never stationary; it is always searching for the next narrative, the next hotspot, the next momentum.

Those who understand rotation go with the flow; those who don’t are crushed by the trend.


❶ Why do so many people lose money every cycle? Because they “don’t move”

Every cycle’s losers share one thing in common:

Asset allocation remains unchanged, always stubbornly sticking to the same sector.

But the reality is:

Capital moves through different stages


Sectors take turns performing


Stories keep shifting


From BTC → ETH → Alts → Meme,

From L1 → AI → GameFi → DeFi……

Only a rotation strategy can run through all stages from ignition to bubble to correction.

In this bull market, even those who stand still will be eliminated: only

❷ What is “rotation”? Capital always follows momentum and narrative

The essence of rotation is moving funds to where momentum is strongest and sentiment is most concentrated.

Typical capital migration paths include:

BTC → ETH → Major Altcoins → Meme


Infrastructure → AI → GameFi → DeFi → New Narratives


Capital always follows the narrative, and your job is not to guess the future, but to read the direction of market sentiment.

In this bull market, even those who stand still will be eliminated: only

❸ The core structure of building a rotation portfolio: The three-layer model

A professional rotation portfolio consists of three layers:

1. Core Layer

BTC, ETH

Stable base position


Prevents systemic risk


Provides a “never dies” foundation for the portfolio


2. Growth Layer

Top altcoins with strong fundamentals

Capture medium-speed growth


Balance risk and reward


3. Speculative Layer

New narratives, trending sectors, meme

Small positions, high flexibility


Capture explosive gains when the market ignites


This three-layer structure allows you to:

Stay alive, ride the trend, and catch the breakout.

In this bull market, even those who stand still will be eliminated: only

❹ The core of rotation is “triggered rebalancing”

Rebalancing is not done arbitrarily, but triggered based on conditions:

When an asset’s volatility exceeds X%


When an asset’s proportion deviates from the portfolio by Y%


This structure allows you to:

When a hotspot is overbought → automatically sell a portion


When an unpopular asset is excessively undervalued → automatically buy a bit


No need to guess the top or bottom,

With “structure,” you can achieve the counterintuitive but correct approach of buying low and selling high.


❺ Different market stages require different strategies

Within the rotation framework, strategies adjust with market rhythm:

When a sector is rising (trending period)

→ Use momentum strategies, go with the trend, don’t go against it.

When the market cools (sideways or correction period)

→ Use stable strategies: mean reversion, DCA, reduce high-risk positions.

This way you can:

Earn more in uptrends, lose less in downtrends.


❻ Use on-chain and derivatives indicators to improve rotation accuracy

Professional players never operate by gut feeling—they look at data:

Exchange netflow: inflow = preparing to sell; outflow = accumulation


Whale Transfers


Funding Rate: is sentiment overheated?


Open Interest


Combine with RSI and trading volume for confirmation,

You can spot reversals and sentiment turning points ahead of the market.


❼ The most effective model in uncertain markets: The Barbell Strategy

The so-called barbell strategy means putting funds at two extremes:

One end: Core assets (BTC, ETH)

Safe, risk-resistant

The other end: High-risk sectors (strong narratives or new hotspots)

High potential, high flexibility

When the market starts → move some from core to high risk

When the market overheats → move some from high risk back to core

Never go all-in on one side, and never go all-out.


❽ The key to successful rotation is not prediction, but disciplined execution

The most important rules include:

Write down your goals and maximum tolerable risk before entering


All operations follow the formula: Trigger → Signal → Position → Take Profit / Stop Loss


Record every rotation, review data not emotions


No execution, no rotation;

No discipline, no profit.


❾ What you should do right now

Build your three-layer structure: core, growth, speculative


Set rebalancing ranges (e.g., ±20%)


Monitor volatility and sector sentiment


Use on-chain dashboards to avoid emotional decisions


Use triggers to automate and systematize rotation


You don’t need to predict the market’s future, you just need to follow capital migration.


❿ The truth of this bull market: Capital likes to “move,” hates to “wait”

Every bull market weeds out those who don’t understand rotation.

This cycle, capital moves even faster, narratives are shorter, and hotspots are more intense.

Maintain structure, rotate smartly, take profits ruthlessly,

Only then can you survive between market frenzy and panic.

If you understand rotation, you stand with the market.

If you don’t, you stand against it.


Conclusion:

The core of the crypto market is not prediction, but adaptation.

You can’t control the market, but you can control how your assets flow at different stages.

Rotation strategies allow you to:

Catch trends during upswings


Preserve capital during corrections


Accumulate chips during sideways periods


Be in the right place when a new narrative starts


In this bull market, the biggest risk is not volatility, but stubborn inaction.

Maintain structure and discipline, and you can become one of the few who survive the cycle, rather than the majority who are eliminated.

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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