News

The probability of Polymarket’s “WTI crude oil will drop to $75 in April 2026” event has surged, rising to 65% earlier today and currently at 39%, up 25% in the past 24 hours. As of now, the total trading volume for Polymarket’s “WTI crude oil price in April 2026” event contract has exceeded $40 million. The rules for this event contract are: if, during April 2026, the “highest price” of any one-minute candlestick of the active month of WTI crude oil futures is equal to or exceeds the listing price, the market will resolve as “Yes”; otherwise, it will resolve as “No.” For the previous WTI crude oil March price prediction event contract, the rule was: if, on any trading day, the official settlement price of Chicago Mercantile Exchange’s crude oil futures contract for the current active month (front-month) is equal to or higher than the listing price as of the last trading day of March 2026, the market will resolve as “Yes”; otherwise, the market will resolve as “No.” U.S. President Trump has stated that negotiations regarding the Iran war will continue through the weekend. When asked if Iran would impose restrictions or collect transit fees from vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz, Trump said: “Absolutely not,” and “There will be no tolls.” Trump also previously mentioned that there has been some “quite good news” regarding Iran, but he declined to provide more details. “About 20 minutes ago, we heard some quite good news. It seems there is very smooth progress on the Iran issue in the Middle East,” Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One. When asked about the so-called good news, Trump responded: “You’ll hear about it. I think it’s something that should happen. It’s only right. And I think it will happen. We’ll wait and see, but I think it’s going to happen.” Odaily Seer continues to closely monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing happens.

Foresight News reports, according to SoSoValue data, yesterday (Eastern US time, April 17) the total net inflow into Ethereum spot ETFs was $127 million. The Ethereum spot ETF with the highest single-day net inflow yesterday was the Fidelity ETF FETH, with a single-day net inflow of $84.1344 million. Currently, FETH’s historical total net inflow has reached $2.356 billion. Next was the BlackRock ETF ETHA, with a single-day net inflow of $30.7951 million. ETHA's historical total net inflow has now reached $11.83 billion.As of the release time, the total net asset value of Ethereum spot ETFs is $14.263 billion, the ETF net asset ratio (total market value compared to the total market cap of Ethereum) has reached 4.87%, and the cumulative historical net inflows have reached $11.944 billion.

Odaily reported that the Nasdaq-listed Bitcoin mining company Bitdeer published its latest Bitcoin holdings data on the X platform. For the week ending April 17, Bitdeer mined 177 BTC and sold 177 BTC during the same period, resulting in a net increase of 0 BTC. The company currently maintains zero Bitcoin holdings.