Bitcoin News Update: Uncertainty from Fed's Data and Divided Policies Keeps Rate Cut Decision Unresolved
- Fed's December 2025 rate-cut odds drop to 44% as inflation risks and policy divisions delay easing, per CME data. - Persistent 3% year-on-year inflation and delayed economic reports create "data fog," forcing policymakers to rely on outdated metrics. - Stock and crypto markets react: S&P 500 faces pressure, Bitcoin dips below $90,000 amid prolonged tight monetary policy. - Fed's internal factions clash over inflation control vs. employment support, with 2026 likely starting point for slower easing cycle.
Uncertainty has increased around the Federal Reserve’s plans for a rate cut in December 2025, as market odds now suggest a 53% chance that rates will remain unchanged at this crucial meeting,
The rising likelihood of no rate cut is a sharp turnaround from earlier projections, which mostly anticipated a 25 basis point reduction. According to Polymarket data cited by financial commentator @KobeissiLetter, concerns about inflation—shown by annual price increases climbing back to 3%—have led traders to prefer keeping rates steady rather than easing policy.
Adding to the confusion, the government shutdown has delayed key economic reports, leaving Fed officials in a “data fog.”
The consequences for financial markets are significant. In the stock market, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have shown mixed results, with growth shares under pressure as hopes for rate cuts fade. Likewise,
Cryptocurrency markets are also responding to broader economic developments. The sharp drop in expectations for a December rate cut has brought attention to BTC/USD short positions,
Looking forward, the September nonfarm payrolls report—scheduled for November 20—will be a key data release. Although its late arrival limits its immediate influence on policy, it could still sway market sentiment ahead of the Fed’s December meeting.
As the Fed navigates a challenging economic environment, investors remain cautious. With inflation still above the 2% target and policy disagreements unresolved,
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
Ethereum News Update: The Dangers of Leverage: Crypto Whale Suffers $26 Million Loss Amid Market Decline
- A crypto whale lost $26.348M by partially liquidating 15x leveraged BTC and 3x leveraged ETH positions amid declining prices. - The whale's $250M portfolio faces $3.734M unrealized losses if liquidated, with a $65,436 WBTC liquidation threshold. - Broader market trends show $260.66M ETH ETF outflows and ETH/BTC prices below $2,800 and $87,000, worsening leveraged traders' risks. - A HyperLiquid user lost $4.07M from a 6x ETH long position, reflecting systemic leverage challenges as macroeconomic factors

Bitcoin Updates: U.S. Market Pessimism Contrasts with Asian Confidence as Bitcoin Drops Near $85,000
- Bitcoin's price fell to $85,000 in Nov 2025, down 7% in 24 hours and 20% monthly, driven by dormant wallet sales and bearish derivatives bets. - Surging sell pressure from inactive wallets and rebalanced derivatives toward puts highlight deteriorating market structure and liquidity. - Fed rate-cut uncertainty and regional divergences—U.S. bearishness vs. Asian buying—exacerbate volatility amid $565M in liquidations. - Analysts split on recovery: some see consolidation near $85K-$100K, others warn of a po

Aave News Today: Aave’s High-Return Application Offers a Solution to Inflation’s Impact on Savings
- Aave , a top DeFi lending protocol, launched a consumer savings app offering up to 9% APY, competing with traditional banks and fintech platforms. - The app targets mainstream users with zero minimum deposits, real-time compounding, and $1M balance protection, aiming to simplify DeFi accessibility. - While outperforming traditional savings rates, Aave's insurance transparency and security history raise concerns amid crypto's volatile trust landscape. - This move reflects DeFi's neobank trend, with high-y

The PENGU USDT Sell Alert: Is This a Red Flag or Simply a Market Adjustment?
- PENGU USDT's sell signal highlights concerns over structural risks in stablecoin-backed crypto strategies amid volatility and regulatory shifts. - The token's 28.5% decline since October 27, coupled with weak technical indicators, reflects broader fragility in algorithmic stablecoins and leveraged positions. - Growing institutional adoption of asset-backed alternatives like USDC contrasts with PENGU's speculative NFT-driven model, which lacks robust collateral or compliance. - While Fed policy easing may