On Polymarket, the probability of gold reaching $5,000 before ETH is currently reported at 68%.

According to Odaily, information from the Polymarket website shows that the total funds bet on "Which will reach $5,000 first, gold or ETH" are close to $840,000. The probability of "gold reaching $5,000 first" is currently reported at 68%, with the deadline set for June 30, 2026. If neither reaches $5,000 by then, the settlement will be made at a 50%:50% ratio. The gold price refers to the continuous gold contract on COMEX; the ETH price refers to the ETH/USDT price on a certain exchange.