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Cardano Price Prediction: ADA Quietly Surges After Inflation Drop – Is This the Breakout No One Sees Coming?

Cardano Price Prediction: ADA Quietly Surges After Inflation Drop – Is This the Breakout No One Sees Coming?

CoinspeakerCoinspeaker2026/01/15 16:15
By:Coinspeaker

The bounce followed softer US inflation data, which lifted overall market sentiment and pushed buyers back into major altcoins.

Bitcoin briefly surged above $97,000 before pulling back to $96,000, and according to former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes, 2026 could mark the return of a full Bitcoin bull cycle after the liquidity crunch of 2025.

In December, US headline inflation came in at 2.7% year over year, right in line with expectations. Core inflation was slightly lower at 2.6%, helping ease concerns about future rate hikes.

Markets are now looking ahead to the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting. With rates expected to stay in the 3.50% to 3.75% range, most of the risk already appears priced in.

Low Retail Interest Could Be the Hidden Bullish Signal

Despite ADA’s recent climb, retail participation remains low, according to data from CoinGlass.

Futures Open Interest currently averages $832 million, down significantly from the $1.51 billion level seen during the October 10 flash crash and well below the $1.95 billion peak in mid-September.

The decline in Open Interest shows reduced trader conviction, but it also means leverage is low, giving Cardano more upside potential if demand returns.

With sentiment improving, inflation cooling, and ADA climbing quietly, this could be the breakout few are prepared for.

ADA Price Analysis: Pathway to $2.50 Appears

On the weekly chart, ADA is still trading within a long-term descending channel, with price recently bouncing from the key $0.35 to $0.37 demand zone, a level that has repeatedly acted as a strong base over the past year.

The first hurdle is immediate resistance near $0.45, a zone that has capped upside moves in recent months.

Beyond that, the $1.20 to $1.30 area remains the major supply zone, where heavy distribution previously occurred. A confirmed breakout above this range would signal a full trend reversal and open the path toward the $2.50 target.

Cardano Price Prediction: ADA Quietly Surges After Inflation Drop – Is This the Breakout No One Sees Coming? image 0

Source: TradingView

Key Support Levels to Watch

If ADA fails to hold above $0.38, the $0.35 support will come back into focus.

A clean breakdown below that level would invalidate the current rebound and increase the risk of a deeper pullback.

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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