Aave 價格AAVE

📊 Market Snapshot (as of 2026-01-25 18:00 HKT) 🔑 Summary (Concise) If AAVE breaks below the key support around $145, it is likely to accelerate its decline in the short term and test the $125 level. This is due to multiple technical and market liquidity signals pointing to further downside, though whether it breaks down directly still depends on the immediate response of large buy orders and overall macro sentiment. Analysis & Rationale (Key Points) Technical Analysis Daily and 4-hour indicators show weakening bullish momentum: the daily MACD shows an expanding bearish gap, RSI is in the weak zone (daily RSI ~32), and the 4-hour RSI is also near oversold territory. Short-term EMAs are flattening and trending downward, indicating selling pressure dominance. (See technical analysis core) The price structure features a descending wedge/support with a clear lower threshold at $144.93. If this level is lost, the measured target for similar patterns is around $125 (consistent with both news and technical interpretation). newsbtc Volume & Capital Flows Significant net outflow in the past 24 hours (24h net_flow -337.468 base coin), and large daily net outflows indicate institutions/large holders are reducing or exiting positions, amplifying the impact if support breaks. Order book shows large sell orders concentrated at 156-163, while large buy orders are present at 152-153 and 147-150. If $145 is breached and large buy orders cannot absorb the selling, the path to $125 could be accelerated. Market Sentiment & Macro The Fear & Greed Index is at a low level (around 25), reflecting cautious sentiment across the crypto market. In a weak market, the loss of support for a single token can easily trigger cascading stop-losses and forced liquidations, accelerating the decline. Key Variables (Determining Whether $125 Is Reached Quickly) Large buy orders/liquidity depth: If institutions or market makers provide strong bids in the 145-150 range, a breakdown may be halted or reversed. Macro headwinds or systemic events (such as a DeFi liquidation wave, risks on the Ethereum chain, or a broad BTC pullback) could amplify downside pressure. Related on-chain or competitor news (e.g., Chainlink's progress on liquidation value recovery) may also affect the market's risk premium assessment for Aave. coinspeaker Short-term volume changes: If a breakdown is accompanied by high volume, the probability of reaching $125 increases significantly; if the breakdown is false and quickly recovers, it may turn into a bull trap. Practical Advice (Risk Warnings & Strategies) For short positions: Consider adding to positions if $145 is broken with confirmation and high volume, targeting $125. Suggested stop-loss above 150–156 (adjust based on personal risk tolerance). For long positions or holders: Wait for price to reclaim $145 with volume recovery and solid daily support before adding; otherwise, consider reducing positions in batches to control drawdown. Beware of forced liquidations and slippage: Breaking key support often triggers stop-losses and leveraged liquidations. Manage leverage and position size when executing at market price. Summary Restated Technical structure, capital flows, and sentiment are all currently biased to the downside. Therefore, if AAVE confirms a breakdown below $145 with high volume, the probability of a rapid move to test $125 is high, but the final path will still depend on large order liquidity and overall market sentiment.

🔴 AAVEUSDC – Longs Wiped Out ❌ 💥 Long Liquidation: $1.971K @ $156.43 ✍️ When longs die, shorts wake up… 📉 SHORT SETUP Resistance: $158 – $160 Support: $150 🎯 Trade Plan: Entry Price → $156 – $157 TP1 → $152 TP2 → $148 Stop-Loss → $161 ⚠️ Momentum favors bears below resistance $AAVE

$AAVE just swept liquidity & broke short-term structure after that strong push up Price is now sitting back inside a key demand zone around the $159–160 area This is where reactions matter If buyers defend this level, a retrace toward the lower FVG around 162–166 makes sense

𝘼𝙖𝙫𝙚 𝙞𝙨 𝙐𝙣𝙙𝙚𝙧𝙫𝙖𝙡𝙪𝙚𝙙 - $AAVE still dominates lending by usage, running about 7× the active loans of its nearest peer. Yet it’s only ~2× Morpho by FDV, in a sector levered to stablecoin growth. That gap is worth watching.