Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin’s Fourth Quarter Surge: Impact of Trade Disputes, Stronger Dollar, and Evolving Global Economic Strategies

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Bitget-RWA2025/11/05 04:50

By:Bitget-RWA

- Bitcoin fell nearly 15% in October 2024, its worst quarterly start since 2022, driven by U.S.-China trade tensions, dollar strength, and macroeconomic caution. - A 100% U.S. tariff on Chinese imports and Fed rate-cut delays exacerbated selloffs, triggering $1.3B in liquidations during a flash crash below $103,000. - Key support levels at $107,000 and $101,150 face retests as traders warn of further declines, with market cap dropping below $3.6T amid fragile liquidity. - Wintermute denied Binance lawsuit

Bitcoin experienced a steep decline of almost 15% in October, making it the weakest start to a quarter since 2022. This drop was driven by escalating trade disputes, a strengthening U.S. dollar, and cautious global economic sentiment. By early November, Bitcoin had slipped below $108,000, and experts cautioned that breaching crucial support thresholds could lead to deeper losses in an already unstable market, according to a

crypto.news analysis

. The downward momentum intensified after the United States imposed 100% tariffs on Chinese goods and limited software exports, resulting in widespread sell-offs throughout the crypto sector. At the same time, the Federal Reserve’s indication of a slower pace for rate reductions boosted the dollar and shifted investor interest to assets with yields, making it harder for Bitcoin to draw buyers compared to traditional stocks, the report said.

Both retail and institutional participants are now preparing for a possible retest of major support areas. On-chain data points to $107,000 as a critical threshold, a

Cointelegraph article

observed, with market watchers like CrypNuevo on X warning that a drop below this level could send prices toward the 50-week exponential moving average at $101,150. "We could be trading within a range," CrypNuevo commented, highlighting that liquidity concentrations near $108,500 and $112,000 may influence short-term price swings. Other analysts, such as Daan Crypto Trades, focused on exchange order book trends, identifying $105,000–$106,000 and $117,000 as significant price points.

The market’s vulnerability was highlighted on October 10, when a $1.3 billion liquidation occurred as

Bitcoin

tumbled 15% in a sudden crash to below $103,000,

Yahoo Finance stated

. Data on trading volumes showed a strong selling bias, with a 58.24% chance of a downward breakout further supporting the bearish trend. Although a recovery above $108,919 could open the way to $114,500, significant macroeconomic risks remain.

Adding to the uncertainty, Wintermute—a leading crypto market maker—refuted speculation that it was suing Binance over the flash crash, which erased $20 billion in leveraged trades, according to a

Coinpedia article

. Wintermute CEO Evgeny Gaevoy dismissed the allegations as "utter nonsense," while former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao advised users to verify news during turbulent times. Nonetheless, the incident exposed underlying weaknesses as the total crypto market value fell below $3.6 trillion, signaling tighter liquidity and increased caution.

Although the fourth quarter is typically a strong period for Bitcoin, the current trend has bucked historical norms. Institutional interest in Bitcoin reached its lowest point in seven months at the start of November, contrasting with the influx of newly mined coins and raising doubts about the rally’s durability, Cointelegraph reported. As traders contend with changing tariffs, central bank decisions, and fragile market confidence, whether Bitcoin can stay above $100,000 may determine if 2025 brings further corrections or sparks a broader recovery.

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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