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"Buy the rumor, sell the fact": BTC pulls back 12% after FOMC, deep cooling risk is accumulating
"Buy the rumor, sell the fact": BTC pulls back 12% after FOMC, deep cooling risk is accumulating

After the FOMC meeting, bitcoin entered a correction phase. Long-term holders realized profits on 3.4 million BTC, and the slowdown in ETF inflows has made the market more vulnerable. Both spot and futures markets are under pressure, and the cost basis for short-term holders at $111,000 is a key support level. Summary generated by Mars AI. The accuracy and completeness of this summary are still under iterative improvement.

MarsBit·2025/09/26 16:25
Melt-up or peak? Bitcoin falls below $110,000 as Goldman Sachs traders reveal the tug-of-war between macro and technical factors
Melt-up or peak? Bitcoin falls below $110,000 as Goldman Sachs traders reveal the tug-of-war between macro and technical factors

Goldman Sachs trader Paolo Schiavone warns that the bitcoin flash crash is a signal of a market shift and that the frenzy in risk assets may cool down. He believes that after a short-term correction, the market will move towards a "melt-up" scenario. While technical indicators show warning signals, fundamentals still support buying. Summary generated by Mars AI. The accuracy and completeness of this summary are still being iteratively improved by the Mars AI model.

MarsBit·2025/09/26 16:23
Flash
04:30
The trading volume of the "BTC 5-minute up or down market" on Polymarket has reached $25.2 million.
ChainCatcher news, Blockworks researcher Kunal Doshi posted on X that Polymarket's newly launched 5-minute BTC market has generated a trading volume of $25.2 million within 40 hours of going live. The average trading volume per window is about $52,000, reaching 10% to 20% of the 15-minute market's trading volume.
04:16
a16z advisor: Only 1.3% of political contracts in prediction markets have liquidity, suggests introducing AI agents to provide liquidity
According to Odaily, Andy Hall, professor at Stanford Business School and advisor to a16z & Meta, stated on the X platform that his team has established a new dataset focused on political prediction markets, liquidity, and settlement rules. The research found that the vast majority of political contracts in prediction markets lack activity, with only 1.3% of contracts having sufficient liquidity. Kalshi and Polymarket rarely list identical contracts with the same rules, leading to further fragmentation of liquidity. Andy Hall proposed four improvement suggestions: First, list contracts on core issues and cooperate with independent institutions to define markets of social concern; second, pay fees to market makers to inject initial liquidity into political markets; third, introduce AI agents to trade in areas where humans do not participate, generating price references needed by society; fourth, establish unified definitions and settlement rules across platforms. Andy Hall believes that these measures will attract traders seeking to hedge political risks and make prediction markets the truth machines that society needs.
04:16
An address entered a long position 10 hours ago with an average price of $2055 for 2188 ETH, with a win rate of only 12.5% over the past six months.
BlockBeats News, February 14th, according to on-chain data analyst @ai_9684xtpa's monitoring, the address starting with 0x806 added to its position 2188.12 ETH (4.497 million US dollars) 10 hours ago when ETH rebounded, with a cost of 2055.36 US dollars. It is worth noting that in the past six months, this address has conducted a total of 8 swing trades, with a cumulative loss of 1.261 million US dollars and a win rate of only 12.5%. However, this address's two ambush trades of ETH from April to August last year were successful. At that time, the address bought at 1548.24 US dollars, sold at 2371.98 US dollars, then bought at 2406.75 US dollars, sold at 4300.36 US dollars, and made a profit of 6.399 million US dollars.
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