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```htmlUS President Trump plans to block the Strait of Hormuz, a move that has reignited global inflation concerns and pushed up government bond yields. Deutsche Bank strategists stated in a report: "Although market sentiment was optimistic when the two-week ceasefire was announced last week, the atmosphere has now turned negative again." They pointed out that oil prices have risen. "This, in turn, has renewed worries about stagflation shocks, causing global stock and bond markets to fall." According to Tradeweb data, the yield on 10-year German government bonds rose by 1.4 basis points to 3.058%; the yield on 10-year Italian government bonds increased by 4.1 basis points to 3.853%.```

Wizz Air and easyJet, which had their ratings downgraded by Bernstein before the market opened, saw the largest declines, falling by 7.2% and 4.2% respectively. Deutsche Lufthansa dropped by 3.9%, Air France-KLM fell by 3.2%, Jet2 slipped by 2.6%, and International Consolidated Airlines Group, the parent company of British Airways and Iberia, declined by 2.5%.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, 3 accounts have placed a $10,800 bet on "Will the price of crude oil (CL) surpass $130 per barrel before July," with the current probability of "Yes" at 43%.Among these 3 accounts, Frank0951 has a 60% win rate in the oil category, with a total profit of $66,000; 0x3b7ed124 has a 100% win rate in the commodities category, with a total profit of $3,000; 0x8e77537e has a 100% win rate in the oil category, with a total profit of $7,000.On the 13th, after the U.S. announced preparations to blockade Iranian-related shipping, the price of crude oil briefly rose to $104.95 per barrel. Some analysts believe that with the conflict unresolved, the oil price may continue to experience high volatility. Meanwhile, global refineries and crude oil traders are intensifying their efforts to secure immediate delivery of spot crude oil, leading to increased tension in the spot market supply.The Guardian points out that the primary objective of the U.S. in this move is more to pressure Iran rather than to prepare for a larger-scale direct military strike. This is because implementing a comprehensive and tight maritime blockade would not only require ongoing deployment of naval forces, monitoring of sea routes, and vessel identification but also entail a higher risk of military escalation.Note: Based on their past trading behavior, this trader is not necessarily betting on the actual outcome of the event but may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss behavior at a certain point after opening a position.Accounts:0x40471b34671887546013ceb58740625c2efe7293;0x3b7ed1242417f4b8f6992b5dd53aa9415a2c23eb;0x8e77537e059837d3c2ca5b4efe75e74e9498c4f3.